Algeciras 1-0 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.98
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.30/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.08
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Alcorcon
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Algeciras Algeciras 2-0 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
24.11.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-1 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
02.04.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
19.11.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-0
AWAY Alcorcon
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras squeezed past Alcorcon 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Algeciras found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Algeciras had 40% of the ball to Alcorcon's 60%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Algeciras and 0.75 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Alcorcon?

Algeciras 1-0 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 39%, draw 29%, Alcorcon 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Algeciras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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