Alcorcon 1-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
2.24/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.14
+64% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Algeciras
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
19.11.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-1
AWAY Algeciras
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Algeciras couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alcorcon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Alcorcon had 43% of the ball to Algeciras's 57%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcorcon and 0.00 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Algeciras?

Alcorcon 1-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 42%, draw 29%, Algeciras 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcorcon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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