Alcoyano 1-1 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.46
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.13/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.06
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ceuta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Alcoyano Alcoyano 3-1 HT 2-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
17.09.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
1-1
AWAY Ceuta
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano and Ceuta shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Alcoyano had 47% of the ball to Ceuta's 53%, shots finished 18-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alcoyano and 1.00 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Ceuta?

Alcoyano 1-1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 35%, draw 28%, Ceuta 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ceuta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
24 Nov 2024
14:00 Real Union vs Ourense CF Analysis →
14:00 Tarazona vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
14:00 Fuenlabrada vs Real Madrid II Analysis →
14:00 Alcorcon vs Algeciras Analysis →
17:30 Marbella vs Yeclano Analysis →
17:30 FC Andorra vs Unionistas Analysis →