Tarazona 2-3 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarazona EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
0.78/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.08
-26% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
249 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tarazona
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Tarazona Tarazona 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
02.09.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-0 HT 0-0 Tarazona Tarazona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tarazona
2-3
AWAY Celta Vigo II
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tarazona vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II nicked a narrow win over Tarazona 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Celta Vigo II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tarazona had 61% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 39%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tarazona and 0.50 for Celta Vigo II.

What was the final score of Tarazona vs Celta Vigo II?

Tarazona 2-3 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarazona vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tarazona win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tarazona 35%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo II 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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