La Serena 2-1 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.22/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.27
-23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.0 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.94 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
312 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
06.11.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-0 HT 2-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
28.05.2022 La Serena La Serena 3-2 HT 2-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
26.08.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
31.03.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
15.02.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
2-1
AWAY Audax Italiano
2.00 xG 1.76
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
206 Passes 273
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena squeezed past Audax Italiano 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day La Serena made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, La Serena had 43% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 57%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.00 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for La Serena and 2.17 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Audax Italiano?

La Serena 2-1 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split La Serena 37%, draw 25%, Audax Italiano 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Audax Italiano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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