Mushuc Runa 1-1 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 Oct 2025

Mushuc Runa
1-1 HT 1-1
Manta
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Mushuc Runa vs Manta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mushuc Runa v Manta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.73/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.86
+1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
27.1 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mushuc Runa vs Manta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Manta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 217
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.08.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
10.05.2025 Manta Manta 2-1 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
15.08.2021 Manta Manta 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
14.03.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 4-2 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV1
30.11.2014 Manta Manta 3-0 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
24.08.2014 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1

Mushuc Runa 1-1 Manta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-1
AWAY Manta
1.81 xG 1.24
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
403 Passes 92
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
26 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa and Manta shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Mushuc Runa carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 75% of the ball to Manta's 25%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.81 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.17 for Manta.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Manta?

Mushuc Runa 1-1 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 55%, draw 23%, Manta 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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