Manta 2-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 May 2025

Manta
2-1 HT 2-0
Mushuc Runa
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Manta vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manta v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manta EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
0.94/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
-33% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
16.8 Crosses 20.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4

Manta vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manta
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.83 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
214 Passes 225
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.08.2021 Manta Manta 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
14.03.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 4-2 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV1
30.11.2014 Manta Manta 3-0 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
24.08.2014 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
20.07.2014 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
02.02.2014 Manta Manta 1-1 HT 0-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1

Manta 2-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manta
2-1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.33 xG 1.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
234 Passes 161
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 38
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manta vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manta edged past Mushuc Runa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Manta found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Manta had 56% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 44%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.33 to 1.99 — on chances, Mushuc Runa could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Manta and 1.33 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Manta vs Mushuc Runa?

Manta 2-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manta vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manta win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Manta 36%, draw 30%, Mushuc Runa 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manta), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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