Macara 0-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.96/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.24
-26% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
207 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 80%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.8 Crosses 16.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-0D-5L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.25 xG 1.74
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
218 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Macara Macara 0-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.03.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV1
22.10.2022 Macara Macara 0-5 HT 0-2 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
30.05.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-2 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV1
17.10.2021 Macara Macara 2-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
02.05.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0-1
AWAY LDU Quito
1.68 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macara vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Macara 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; LDU Quito found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Macara had 50% of the ball to LDU Quito's 50%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 1.68 to 1.08 — on chances, Macara could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Macara and 2.83 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Macara vs LDU Quito?

Macara 0-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Macara 35%, draw 28%, LDU Quito 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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