Macara 0-4 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.3pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 51%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.01/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.99
-9% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.9 Crosses 16.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-0D-5L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.53 xG 1.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
224 Passes 339
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV1
22.10.2022 Macara Macara 0-5 HT 0-2 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
30.05.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-2 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV1
17.10.2021 Macara Macara 2-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
02.05.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
13.12.2020 Macara Macara 3-4 HT 2-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0-4
AWAY LDU Quito
0.57 xG 2.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
265 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Macara vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito cruised past Macara 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Macara had 40% of the ball to LDU Quito's 60%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.57 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Macara and 2.83 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Macara vs LDU Quito?

Macara 0-4 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Macara 27%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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