El Nacional vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
El Nacional
EKV1
1-2
HT 1-1
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-2
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
El Nacional
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-1
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
El Nacional 0-2 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics
Uni. Catolica beat El Nacional 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Uni. Catolica found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, El Nacional had 50% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 50%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.87 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for El Nacional and 1.67 for Uni. Catolica.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Uni. Catolica?
El Nacional 0-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Uni. Catolica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 34%, draw 27%, Uni. Catolica 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.