Independiente Del Valle 1-2 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 4 Aug 2024

Independiente Del Valle
1-2 HT 0-2
Delfin
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Independiente Del Valle vs Delfin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.6pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.8pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Del Valle v Delfin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.66/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.97
-6% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
19.1 Crosses 10.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Independiente Del Valle vs Delfin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Delfin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.24 xG 0.46
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
395 Passes 146
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.09.2023 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
09.04.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
11.09.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
24.04.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
23.08.2021 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Independiente Del Valle 1-2 Delfin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-2
AWAY Delfin
2.23 xG 1.12
75% Ball Possession 25%
31 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
498 Passes 124
88% Pass Accuracy 63%
37 Box Touches 12
45 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin nicked a narrow win over Independiente Del Valle 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Independiente Del Valle at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 75% of the ball to Delfin's 25%, shots finished 31-5, expected goals 2.23 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Independiente Del Valle.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.17 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Delfin?

Independiente Del Valle 1-2 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 64%, draw 22%, Delfin 14%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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