Imbabura 1-3 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imbabura EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -2%
1.67/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.3 Crosses 17.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imbabura
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.53 xG 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
204 Passes 309
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 0
04.03.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Imbabura Imbabura EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imbabura
1-3
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.59 xG 2.03
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
157 Passes 404
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Imbabura vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC got the better of Imbabura 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Imbabura had 34% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 66%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.59 to 2.03.

What was the final score of Imbabura vs Barcelona SC?

Imbabura 1-3 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imbabura vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 31%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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