Orense 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
55%
-14.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.25/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.34
-23% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +37%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 71%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.1 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 0.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
265 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 1-1 Orense Orense EKV1
10.03.2024 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
03.09.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
08.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
16.10.2022 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
24.05.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.98 xG 0.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
365 Passes 229
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense edged past Deportivo Cuenca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Orense had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 40%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 0.98 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orense and 0.67 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Orense 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orense 41%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cuenca 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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