Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.34/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.19
+10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.4 Crosses 15.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Orense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
252 Passes 269
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
03.09.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
08.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
16.10.2022 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
24.05.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
22.08.2021 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-2
AWAY Orense
1.31 xG 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
404 Passes 263
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense edged past Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 60% of the ball to Orense's 40%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.31 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Orense.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 51%, draw 26%, Orense 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
10 Aug 2024
20:30 Uni. Catolica vs Libertad Analysis →
23:00 LDU Quito vs Cumbaya Analysis →