LDU Quito 2-1 Cumbaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.2pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
2.00/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.54
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +3%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
21.2 Crosses 10.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Cumbaya
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.72 xG 0.59
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
465 Passes 222
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
11.03.2024 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-3 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
27.11.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
10.06.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
21.08.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 1-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
10.04.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-1
AWAY Cumbaya
2.22 xG 1.19
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
423 Passes 200
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Cumbaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Cumbaya 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LDU Quito had 64% of the ball to Cumbaya's 36%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.22 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for LDU Quito and 0.40 for Cumbaya.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Cumbaya?

LDU Quito 2-1 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Cumbaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 63%, draw 23%, Cumbaya 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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