Annecy 4-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 32% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.39
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
8%
8.19
X/2
19%
4.35
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.44
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.16/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.23
+10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
15.3 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.62 xG 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 360
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-1 HT 2-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
28.08.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
04.02.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-2 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
26.12.2022 Annecy Annecy 2-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
4-0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
3.03 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
398 Passes 511
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy ran out comfortable winners over Saint-Etienne 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Saint-Etienne at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Annecy had 44% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 56%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 3.03 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Annecy and 1.75 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Saint-Etienne?

Annecy 4-0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Annecy 23%, draw 26%, Saint-Etienne 51%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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