Penrhyncoch 1-4 Flint Mountain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.01/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.88
+15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Flint Mountain
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.03.2025 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 5-1 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
25.03.2025 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 6-1 HT 3-1 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Flint Mountain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain cruised past Penrhyncoch 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Flint Mountain made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Penrhyncoch and 3.00 for Flint Mountain.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Flint Mountain?

Penrhyncoch 1-4 Flint Mountain in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Flint Mountain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penrhyncoch win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 40%, draw 22%, Flint Mountain 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penrhyncoch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penrhyncoch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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