Flint Mountain 5-1 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.3pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 30%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.65/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.74
+88% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Mountain
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
25.03.2025 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 6-1 HT 3-1 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain ran out comfortable winners over Penrhyncoch 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flint Mountain as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Penrhyncoch?

Flint Mountain 5-1 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Mountain win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 52%, draw 27%, Penrhyncoch 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flint Mountain), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flint Mountain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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