Cwmbran Celtic 0-2 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.78/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.28
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
07.09.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 4-3 HT 1-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
09.03.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
28.08.2023 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 3-3 HT 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons got the better of Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baglan Dragons as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baglan Dragons led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 2.67 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons?

Cwmbran Celtic 0-2 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 30%, draw 25%, Baglan Dragons 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baglan Dragons) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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