Carmarthen Town 1-1 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.5pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.68/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.23
-6% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Trefelin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1 Corners 9
12.10.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-1 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
08.03.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 1-1 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
28.08.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 6-1 HT 2-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
18.04.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-3 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
26.08.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
04.12.2021 Trefelin Trefelin 0-2 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town and Trefelin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Carmarthen Town and 0.83 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin?

Carmarthen Town 1-1 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 42%, draw 26%, Trefelin 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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