Guilsfield 2-1 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 54%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.12/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/0.86
-27% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +72%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Holywell
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 1-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
13.04.2024 Guilsfield 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
27.02.2024 Holywell Holywell 4-2 HT 3-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
11.02.2023 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
14.01.2023 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALWK
06.09.2022 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield edged past Holywell 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Holywell at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guilsfield and 2.67 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Holywell?

Guilsfield 2-1 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 31%, draw 27%, Holywell 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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