Holywell 2-1 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.74
Over 2.5
69%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
74%
+1.6pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.6pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
33%
-2.2pp
69%
Over 2.5
67%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.78/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.79
+2% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
469 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Guilsfield
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 Guilsfield 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
27.02.2024 Holywell Holywell 4-2 HT 3-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
11.02.2023 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
14.01.2023 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALWK
06.09.2022 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
29.01.2022 Holywell Holywell 3-0 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell squeezed past Guilsfield 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Holywell and 0.67 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Guilsfield?

Holywell 2-1 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Holywell 76%, draw 13%, Guilsfield 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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