Llay Miners Welfare 1-2 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
65%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
4.0
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.0pp
15%
Draw
13%
+1.6pp
65%
Away Win
77%
-11.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 81%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.70/0.72
+107% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +26%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llay Miners Welfare
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.08.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-1 HT 0-1 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llay Miners Welfare vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay squeezed past Llay Miners Welfare 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Llay Miners Welfare vs Colwyn Bay?

Llay Miners Welfare 1-2 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llay Miners Welfare vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Llay Miners Welfare 20%, draw 15%, Colwyn Bay 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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