Colwyn Bay 1-1 Llay Miners Welfare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.61
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
36%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
58%
-18.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
21%
+15.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 25%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay and Llay Miners Welfare couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Colwyn Bay 1-1 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 39%, draw 24%, Llay Miners Welfare 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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