09/08/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Colwyn Bay vs Llay Miners Welfare Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
58%
24%
Draw
21%
36%
Away Win
21%
39%
Under 2.5
35%
61%
Over 2.5
65%
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
39%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colwyn Bay v Llay Miners Welfare — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Colwyn Bay
EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Llay Miners Welfare
EU Bookmakers 25%
-24% /
-24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-33%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
382 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
245 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Colwyn Bay vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Colwyn Bay and Llay Miners Welfare couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Llay Miners Welfare?
Colwyn Bay 1-1 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Llay Miners Welfare?
Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 39%, draw 24%, Llay Miners Welfare 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Colwyn Bay)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
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