Carmarthen Town vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carmarthen Town v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals
Carmarthen Town vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Baglan Dragons
GALFAW
Carmarthen Town squeezed past Baglan Dragons 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.00 for Baglan Dragons.
What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Baglan Dragons?
Carmarthen Town 3-2 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Baglan Dragons?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 45%, draw 25%, Baglan Dragons 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.