Afan Lido 1-1 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Aug 2024

Afan Lido
1-1 HT 1-1
Newport City
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Afan Lido vs Newport City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Afan Lido v Newport City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+47% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido and Newport City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Newport City?

Afan Lido 1-1 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 33%, draw 30%, Newport City 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newport City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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