Flint Mountain 1-0 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Mountain
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
19.07.2024 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 0-3 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALLK
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain edged past Gresford Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flint Mountain as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Gresford Athletic?

Flint Mountain 1-0 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Mountain win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 50%, draw 21%, Gresford Athletic 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flint Mountain) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flint Mountain) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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