Carmarthen Town 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Nov 2024

Carmarthen Town
0-1 HT 0-1
Pontypridd Town AFC
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carmarthen Town v Pontypridd Town AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.89/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/2.02
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
228 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
06.08.2022 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALLK
30.04.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC edged past Carmarthen Town 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Pontypridd Town AFC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Carmarthen Town and 2.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Carmarthen Town 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 38%, draw 30%, Pontypridd Town AFC 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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