Caersws 0-1 Flint Mountain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.4pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 37%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.40/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Flint Mountain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain nicked a narrow win over Caersws 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Caersws at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Flint Mountain?

Caersws 0-1 Flint Mountain in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Flint Mountain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caersws 45%, draw 25%, Flint Mountain 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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