Guilsfield 0-2 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
2%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
11%
+10.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-11.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 75%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.39/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.24/0.48
+46% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +128%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Holywell
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Holywell Holywell 4-2 HT 3-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
11.02.2023 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
14.01.2023 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALWK
06.09.2022 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
29.01.2022 Holywell Holywell 3-0 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell got the better of Guilsfield 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Guilsfield and 3.00 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Holywell?

Guilsfield 0-2 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 21%, draw 20%, Holywell 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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