Buckley Town 2-2 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
35%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-12.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
22%
+12.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.9pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.96/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
-5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buckley Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
19.09.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALLK
27.12.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-3 HT 0-2 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
20.09.2022 Buckley Town Buckley Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALLK
01.04.2022 Buckley Town Buckley Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
11.12.2021 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Buckley Town vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buckley Town and Gresford Athletic shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Buckley Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Buckley Town and 1.33 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Buckley Town vs Gresford Athletic?

Buckley Town 2-2 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buckley Town vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buckley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Buckley Town 45%, draw 20%, Gresford Athletic 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buckley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buckley Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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