Goytre United 2-2 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.4pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.7pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 28%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.84/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.65
-60% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.04.2024 Llantwit Major 0-1 HT 0-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
22.07.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 1-2 Llantwit Major GALLK
29.04.2023 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
06.12.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 4-3 HT 2-3 Llantwit Major GALFAW
06.04.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 2-4 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United and Llantwit Major shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Goytre United carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Goytre United and 2.00 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Llantwit Major?

Goytre United 2-2 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goytre United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 57%, draw 19%, Llantwit Major 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Goytre United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goytre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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