Caerau (Ely) 3-1 Pontardawe Town FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Apr 2024

Caerau (Ely)
3-1 HT 1-0
Pontardawe Town FC
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Caerau (Ely) vs Pontardawe Town FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.1pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caerau (Ely) v Pontardawe Town FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.52/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.83
+23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caerau (Ely) vs Pontardawe Town FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 3-6 HT 1-2 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Pontardawe Town FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) saw off Pontardawe Town FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Caerau (Ely) 3-1 Pontardawe Town FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 53%, draw 21%, Pontardawe Town FC 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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