Cwmbran Celtic 6-0 Abergavenny Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
68%
-20.5pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.3pp
28%
Away Win
14%
+13.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Abergavenny Town EU Bookmakers 18%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.98/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.14
-63% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Abergavenny Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0 Corners 3
08.09.2023 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
02.01.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 HT 0-0 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town GALFAW
27.12.2022 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Abergavenny Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic cruised past Abergavenny Town 6-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cwmbran Celtic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cwmbran Celtic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 1.00 for Abergavenny Town.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Abergavenny Town?

Cwmbran Celtic 6-0 Abergavenny Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Abergavenny Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cwmbran Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 48%, draw 25%, Abergavenny Town 28%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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