Gresford Athletic 3-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-6.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.0pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.49/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.74
-10% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Caersws
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.12.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
24.02.2024 Caersws Caersws 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic beat Caersws 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Gresford Athletic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gresford Athletic and 0.50 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Caersws?

Gresford Athletic 3-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gresford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 38%, draw 24%, Caersws 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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