Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 Al Gharraf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+51% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Gharraf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Gharraf?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Gharraf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 42%, draw 30%, Al Gharraf 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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