25/10/2025
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Newroz vs Duhok Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
27%
Draw
27%
36%
Away Win
34%
54%
Under 2.5
59%
46%
Over 2.5
41%
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
46%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newroz v Duhok — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Newroz
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-38% /
-38%
1.61/1.04
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.56/1.20
+47%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-49%
/
+2%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
3
298 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
357 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Newroz vs Duhok Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Newroz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Duhok
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Newroz vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Duhok beat Newroz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Duhok made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Newroz vs Duhok?
Newroz 0-2 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newroz vs Duhok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newroz 38%, draw 27%, Duhok 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newroz), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Newroz)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
25 Oct 2025