Newroz 0-2 Duhok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

Newroz
0-2 HT 0-1
Duhok
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Duhok EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.61/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.20
+47% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Duhok
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.06.2025 Duhok Duhok 1-4 HT 1-1 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok beat Newroz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Duhok made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Duhok?

Newroz 0-2 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Duhok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newroz 38%, draw 27%, Duhok 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newroz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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