Duhok 1-4 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 29 Jun 2025

Duhok
1-4 HT 1-1
Newroz
📅29/06/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.59
Over 2.5
33%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.9pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.47/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.16
+27% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz cruised past Duhok 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Duhok at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Newroz?

Duhok 1-4 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Duhok 46%, draw 22%, Newroz 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Duhok) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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