Erbil 1-3 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 32%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.03/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.55
-13% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh got the better of Erbil 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Karkh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Al Karkh?

Erbil 1-3 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Erbil 36%, draw 30%, Al Karkh 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Erbil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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