V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
2.09/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
516 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 12.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Imabari
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 1
506 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Crosses 9
06.04.2025 Imabari Imabari 4-1 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1-1
AWAY Imabari
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
269 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki and Imabari shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 46% of the ball to Imabari's 54%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Imabari?

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Imabari in the Japan - J2 League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 52%, draw 22%, Imabari 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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