JDFS Alberts 4-3 Tukums II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
9%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
70%
+3.3pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.3pp
9%
Away Win
12%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tukums II EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.35/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.73
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDFS Alberts
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Tukums II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
29.06.2025 Tukums II Tukums II 1-2 HT 1-1 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
30.06.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 1-4 HT 0-1 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
01.11.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 2-2 HT 1-1 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
23.04.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 3-3 HT 2-1 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH JDFS Alberts vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts squeezed past Tukums II 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for JDFS Alberts and 1.75 for Tukums II.

What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Tukums II?

JDFS Alberts 4-3 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Tukums II?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 74%, draw 18%, Tukums II 9%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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