Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marupe v Progress / AFA Olaine — Team-Based Signals
Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Marupe cruised past Progress / AFA Olaine 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marupe had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Marupe and 1.00 for Progress / AFA Olaine.
What was the final score of Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Marupe 5-1 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Marupe 64%, draw 24%, Progress / AFA Olaine 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.