Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Marupe v Progress / AFA Olaine — Team-Based Signals
Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Marupe cruised past Progress / AFA Olaine 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) landed.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marupe had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Marupe and 1.00 for Progress / AFA Olaine.
Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine Result & Final Score
Marupe 5 - 1 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Marupe 71%, draw 17%, Progress / AFA Olaine 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.