Progress / AFA Olaine vs Marupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progress / AFA Olaine v Marupe — Team-Based Signals
Progress / AFA Olaine vs Marupe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Marupe cruised past Progress / AFA Olaine 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 32% / 40% — and on the day Marupe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Marupe?
Progress / AFA Olaine 1-4 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Marupe?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 27%, draw 32%, Marupe 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.