Marupe 2-1 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
360 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe nicked a narrow win over Progress / AFA Olaine 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Marupe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Marupe 2-1 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marupe 38%, draw 27%, Progress / AFA Olaine 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marupe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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