JDFS Alberts 1-0 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.44/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.01
+57% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH JDFS Alberts vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts edged past Leevon / PPK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day JDFS Alberts made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Leevon / PPK?

JDFS Alberts 1-0 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 36%, draw 28%, Leevon / PPK 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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