Rezekne / BJSS 0-4 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

Rezekne / BJSS
0-4 HT 0-2
Smiltene
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Rezekne / BJSS vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.59
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.4pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rezekne / BJSS v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 38%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Rezekne / BJSS vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rezekne / BJSS
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Smiltene
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
03.06.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 5-1 HT 3-1 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH Rezekne / BJSS vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene cruised past Rezekne / BJSS 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Rezekne / BJSS at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Smiltene led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rezekne / BJSS and 3.50 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Rezekne / BJSS vs Smiltene?

Rezekne / BJSS 0-4 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rezekne / BJSS vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rezekne / BJSS win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rezekne / BJSS 42%, draw 30%, Smiltene 29%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rezekne / BJSS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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