Vard Haugesund 4-1 Flekkeroy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.37
Draw
12%
4.81
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
6.65
2-3 Goals
30%
2.15
4-5 Goals
30%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
68%
+4.2pp
12%
Draw
18%
-5.0pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.7pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Flekkeroy EU Bookmakers 17%
-14% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
2.32/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.15
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Flekkeroy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.06.2025 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 2-2 HT 1-2 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
10.08.2024 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 2-3 HT 1-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
29.06.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-0 HT 2-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
04.11.2023 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-1 HT 0-1 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
17.06.2023 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 0-0 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
24.09.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-1 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Flekkeroy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund ran out comfortable winners over Flekkeroy 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vard Haugesund as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vard Haugesund had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vard Haugesund and 1.00 for Flekkeroy.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Flekkeroy?

Vard Haugesund 4-1 Flekkeroy in the Norway - 2nd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Flekkeroy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 73%, draw 12%, Flekkeroy 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vard Haugesund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vard Haugesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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