Arendal 3-1 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2025

Arendal
3-1 HT 1-0
Jerv
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.05
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.38
No
35%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.44
2-3 Goals
41%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.39
6+ Goals
15%
4.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
44%
+9.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.6pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.34/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.27
-29% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Jerv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2025 Arendal Arendal 3-2 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOK
16.05.2025 Jerv Jerv 1-1 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
07.02.2025 Jerv Jerv 2-2 Arendal Arendal HAZ
14.09.2024 Jerv Jerv 3-0 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
16.05.2024 Arendal Arendal 3-3 HT 1-2 Jerv Jerv NOR3
01.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOK
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal saw off Jerv 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arendal as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jerv led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arendal and 2.00 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Jerv?

Arendal 3-1 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Arendal 54%, draw 19%, Jerv 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arendal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arendal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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