Jerv 1-1 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 16 May 2025

Jerv
1-1 HT 0-0
Arendal
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.75
+10% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Arendal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2025 Jerv Jerv 2-2 Arendal Arendal HAZ
14.09.2024 Jerv Jerv 3-0 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
16.05.2024 Arendal Arendal 3-3 HT 1-2 Jerv Jerv NOR3
01.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOK
16.08.2017 Jerv Jerv 2-3 HT 1-2 Arendal Arendal NOR1
06.05.2017 Arendal Arendal 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv and Arendal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jerv at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jerv had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jerv and 1.50 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Arendal?

Jerv 1-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jerv 47%, draw 24%, Arendal 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jerv)
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