Jerv 3-0 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

Jerv
3-0 HT 2-0
Arendal
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.41/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.98
-37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Arendal
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
16.05.2024 Arendal Arendal 3-3 HT 1-2 Jerv Jerv NOR3
01.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOK
16.08.2017 Jerv Jerv 2-3 HT 1-2 Arendal Arendal NOR1
06.05.2017 Arendal Arendal 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jerv
3-0
AWAY Arendal
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv swept aside Arendal 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jerv had 54% of the ball to Arendal's 46%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Jerv and 1.75 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Arendal?

Jerv 3-0 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jerv 45%, draw 29%, Arendal 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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